Friday, 17 April 2015

Bookies back SNP win in North Ayrshire & Arran

With little more than two-weeks until the UK Election (May 7th), bookmakers are listing the SNP as favourites to win the North Ayrshire & Arran constituency.

Over the past month the major betting organisations have moved from having Labour and the SNP neck-and neck, to the Nationalists slightly ahead, and now apparently pulling into a clear lead.

All bookies offering prices currently have the SNP ‘odds on’ for a victory in the local seat.  For example, Bet365 has the party at 1/9, meaning you would need to place a bet of £9.00 to win just £1.00. William Hill’s odds reflect even more confidence in an SNP victory at 1/10. 

Ladbrokes, Coral and Bet365 put Labour at 5/1 - a £1.00 stake would win £5.00 if Labour’s Katy Clark retained the seat she has held since 2005.

A local bookmaker told, “The odds we offer reflect the probability of an outcome.  At the moment it is a strong probability the SNP will win North Ayrshire & Arran.”

To take the seat, SNP candidate Patricia Gibson needs to overturn a Labour majority of almost 10,000 from the last UK Election in 2010.  However, Mrs Gibson’s husband, Kenneth, is currently the SNP Member of the Scottish Parliament for the broadly-equivalent seat of Cunninghame North.  In 2011 Mr Gibson secured an SNP majority of 6,117.

Other candidates for the North Ayrshire & Arran seat are placed at ‘long odds’: Liberal Democrats – 150/1; Conservative and UKIP – 100/1. 

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